Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.975838 3.545753 4.164850 4.883665 5.691544 6.567782 7.586236
2026-01-04 2.347001 3.137207 4.066577 5.224975 6.614286 8.211251 10.169191
2026-01-11 1.877416 2.799187 3.965774 5.513575 7.474503 9.837415 12.858563
2026-01-18 1.443267 2.406766 3.718523 5.565651 8.026435 11.118493 15.217757
2026-01-25 1.059739 1.992209 3.361722 5.407696 8.267934 12.004698 17.124258
2026-02-01 0.786621 1.671394 3.072083 5.285258 8.518731 12.892198 19.058075
2026-02-08 0.585378 1.411582 2.821391 5.171913 8.749499 13.742691 20.963379
2026-02-15 0.443619 1.215485 2.632495 5.116939 9.041648 14.674213 23.002139
2026-02-22 0.374984 1.141924 2.634856 5.356320 9.777762 16.255553 25.989424
2026-03-01 0.292718 1.012316 2.512152 5.368960 10.156055 17.328254 28.293913
2026-03-08 0.200882 0.823000 2.238040 5.082847 10.029495 17.637954 29.506212
2026-03-15 0.139538 0.682403 2.029388 4.880458 10.010923 18.092664 30.927623
2026-03-22 0.119562 0.657481 2.068064 5.149700 10.810486 19.854424 34.369294
2026-03-29 0.107539 0.654179 2.155318 5.520423 11.804988 21.958788 38.390637
2026-04-05 0.093788 0.638349 2.210136 5.830845 12.710218 23.954470 42.306407
2026-04-12 0.072175 0.578482 2.145331 5.891026 13.173994 25.262000 45.213000
2026-04-19 0.048661 0.489425 1.984188 5.729623 13.223661 25.897859 47.102065
2026-04-26 0.032464 0.417334 1.848929 5.603772 13.323632 26.611117 49.122301
2026-05-03 0.021062 0.355859 1.725949 5.486524 13.425236 27.321492 51.146514
2026-05-10 0.013780 0.309372 1.635005 5.429765 13.634682 28.214742 53.477706
2026-05-17 0.011392 0.301878 1.671393 5.680389 14.457837 30.177543 57.563966
2026-05-24 0.007583 0.269911 1.613936 5.693856 14.807792 31.333906 60.374179
2026-05-31 0.003456 0.212762 1.442148 5.394940 14.503814 31.336997 61.305377